Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Odds: Early Betting Lines & AI Prediction for June 28 Fight

Jake Paul hasn't stepped into the ring since his controversial win over Mike Tyson back in November, but the former YouTube star is the heavy favorite to beat former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. by the latest Paul vs. Chavez Jr. odds.

Paul (11-1) opened as a -1100 favorite and has seen his odds move to -700 across our best boxing betting sites to beat Chavez Jr. (54-6-1), who remains a +400 underdog to win this 10-round cruiserweight bout on Saturday, June 28 (8 p.m. ET, DAZN) from the Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif.

📊 Paul vs. Chavez Jr. odds

Here are the latest Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. odds as of Friday, June 13.

The latest odds suggest that Paul has an 87.5% implied probability to win the fight and extend his career record to 12-1. Meanwhile, Chavez Jr. has won two straight unanimous decisions since losing to Anderson Silva in 2021 but features just a 20% chance to win this fight according to BetMGM.

You can also wager on a draw in the 3-way market at +1600 odds, which slightly lengthens the odds for both Paul (-600) and Chavez Jr. (+450).

🥊 Paul vs. Chavez Jr. tale of the tape

Here is a look at how Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. match up ahead of their June 28 cruiserweight bout in Anaheim, Calif.

Paul's controversial start to his professional boxing career includes 11 wins in 12 fights, including seven knockouts and a highly publicized eight-round victory over a 58-year-old Tyson last November in a sanctioned fight in Texas.

Meanwhile, Chavez Jr. is the most accomplished fighter that Paul has faced with more than 50 wins and a championship belt on his resume, though he's fought just once in the last 3.5 years and has lost four of his last eight bouts dating back to a 2017 loss to Canelo Alvarez.

📺 Paul vs. Chavez Jr. fight info

• When: Saturday, June 28
• Where: Honda Center (Anaheim, Calif.)
• How to watch: DAZN (PPV)
• Favorite: Jake Paul (-700; bet $70 to win $10)

🤖 AI prediction & fight analysis

We asked ChatGPT to break down this fight between Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., including profiles for each fighter and a Paul vs. Chavez Jr. prediction. While the popular OpenAI chatbot is not a traditional sports betting model, it can often spot trends or insights that bettors may overlook.

🥊 Jake Paul - The Aggressive Promoter

✅ Strengths

• Youth & athleticism: At 28, Paul’s in his physical prime - fast recovery, endurance, and explosive power - especially at cruiserweight where he feels most comfortable.
• Work ethic: Widely praised for his dedicated training. Oscar De La Hoya called him “probably the hardest worker in the game today.”
• Media savvy: His polarizing presence drives attention and pressure - good for mental warfare, drawing fans whether they root for or against him.

❌ Weaknesses

• Limited high-level experience: Many of his wins have come against MMA crossovers or past-their-prime fighters. Critics argue he lacks experience against elite, prime-era opponents.
• Gimmick fighter label: Detractors like Bob Arum dismiss his recent opponents as spectacles, which contributes to doubts about his technique and legitimacy.

🥊 Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. - The Legacy Carrier

✅ Strengths

• Ring craft & experience: A seasoned pro with over 60 fights, including world-title bouts; he knows how to pace himself, use ring IQ, and handle pressure.
• Natural toughness: Known for resilience and ability to dig in - he pushed Canelo to the final bell in 2017 and absorbed punishment in title fights.
• Underdog motivation: With critics calling him “washed up,” he might be motivated to silence doubters and reassert his legacy.

❌ Weaknesses

• Decline in commitment: Chavez Jr. has well-documented struggles with training consistency, motivation, and substance issues in past camps.
• Aging & rust: Nearly 40, he’s seen limited activity with only one fight since 2021. His timing and physical sharpness could be off.
• Habit of quitting: Notorious for late-fight retirements (e.g., versus Jacobs) and underperforming in high-stakes matches.
• Inconsistent recent form: Recent footage shows him “missing shots and lacking precision,” fueling concern about his current sharpness.

🔮 Paul vs. Chavez Jr. prediction

Jake Paul by mid-to-late decision, possibly via TKO.

• Why will Paul win? Youth, power, reach, and recent consistent performance give Paul a clear edge. Chavez Jr. has the skills and pedigree, but his age, lack of recent high-level activity, and motivational concerns are big red flags. Paul’s physical advantages and training discipline should outweigh Chavez Jr.’s experience.
• Path to victory: Paul likely controls distance and pace, uses reach to neutralize Chavez Jr., and if unanswered, could secure a late stoppage. If Chavez Jr. rallies, Paul’s younger legs and volume punching should tip rounds in his favor.

❓ Paul vs. Chavez Jr. FAQs

Who is the favorite for Paul vs. Chavez Jr.?

Jake Paul (-700) is the favorite to beat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (+400). Those odds represent an 87.5% chance that he'll win the June 28 fight.

How many rounds will Paul vs. Chavez Jr. be?

Paul vs. Chavez Jr. will be fought over 10 rounds of three minutes each.

What's the weight class for Paul vs. Chavez Jr.?

Paul vs. Chavez Jr. will be fought as a cruiserweight bout.

When is the Paul vs. Chavez Jr. fight?

Paul vs. Chavez Jr. will take place on Saturday, June 28. The main card will begin at 8 p.m. ET.

Where is the Paul vs. Chavez Jr. fight?

Paul vs. Chavez Jr. will take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif.

How to watch Paul vs. Chavez Jr.

Paul vs. Chavez Jr. will be streamed live on DAZN pay-per-view ($59.99).

💰 How to bet on boxing

1. Moneyline bets (straight up winner)

The most straightforward bet in boxing is a moneyline bet, which is just picking who you think will win the fight. In this type of bet, the odds will indicate which fighter is the favorite and which one is the underdog. The favorite will have negative odds (like -150), meaning you have to bet more to win a smaller amount, while the underdog will have positive odds (like +200), meaning you can win more relative to your bet if they pull off an upset.

• Example: Let’s say Fighter A is listed at -150, and Fighter B is listed at +200. If you bet $150 on Fighter A and they win, you’d make $100. But if you bet $100 on Fighter B and they win, you’d make $200.

2. Over/Under (total rounds)

Another popular bet is the over/under on the number of rounds in the fight. Oddsmakers will set a line, typically between 7 and 10 rounds, and you’ll bet whether the fight will last more or fewer rounds than that. If you think a fight will end quickly, you’d bet the under, and if you think it’ll be a back-and-forth slugfest, you’d bet the over.

• Example: If the Over/Under is set at 8.5 rounds, and you bet the Over, the fight must last 9 rounds or longer for your bet to win. If it’s stopped before 9 rounds, the Under wins.

3. Method of victory

With this bet, you’re wagering on how the fight will end, not just who will win. There are a few typical outcomes you can bet on: a KO/TKO, decision (the fight goes the distance and is decided by the judges), or a draw.

• Example: You could bet on Fighter A to win by knockout at +300, meaning a $100 bet would win $300 if Fighter A knocks out their opponent. Or, if you think the fight will go the distance and be decided by judges' scorecards, you could bet on Fighter A to win by decision at +150.

4. Round betting

For a more precise bet, you can wager on which round the fight will end in. This bet is a little trickier but can offer a higher payout because you're predicting a more specific outcome. If you’re confident in a fighter's ability to end the fight early or think they’ll tire out and win later, this can be a fun way to bet.

• Example: You could bet that Fighter A wins in round 3 at odds of +800. If the fight ends in round 3, you’ll win your bet and collect the higher payout.

5. Parlay betting

If you’re feeling confident in multiple outcomes, you can combine several boxing bets into a parlay. A parlay lets you bet on multiple fighters, methods of victory, or even fights on the same card. All your selections must win for you to cash in, but the potential payout increases with each additional leg in the parlay.

• Example: You could parlay Fighter A to win with Fighter B to win by knockout. If both bets hit, you’ll get a bigger payout than if you had placed each bet individually.

6. Prop bets

Boxing also offers a variety of prop bets, which are unique and sometimes very specific to the fight. These bets can cover anything from how many punches a fighter will throw to whether the fight will end in a particular round or whether there will be a knockdown.

• Example: A prop bet might be “Will Fighter A score a knockdown in round 2?” at odds of +500. If Fighter A does score a knockdown in that round, you’ll win the bet.

7. Live betting

Once the fight begins, many sportsbooks offer live betting. This allows you to place bets on the fight as it progresses, adjusting your wagers based on what’s happening in real time. For example, if a fighter you bet on is getting knocked around early but you still think they have a chance to turn it around, you can place a bet on them at more favorable odds as the fight unfolds.

💵 Best boxing betting sites

Want to bet on Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.? Here are the best sports betting sites and best sportsbook promos for betting on boxing:

• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
• Hard Rock Bet Promo Code

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

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